Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Croatia Juniors 1–1 Rochester NY FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 13% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 80% home, 13% draw, 6% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | Croatia Juniors | Rochester NY FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-1 | 0-3-2 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W L W | D D L D L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs WNY Flash | — |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Steel City FC | 0–8 at Steel City FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.94 | -1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.01 | +0.43 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–1 (home for Croatia Juniors)
Common opponents: Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Croatia Juniors 3–0; Rochester NY FC 2–2. Steel City FC — Croatia Juniors 0–2; Rochester NY FC 0–8. WNY Flash — Croatia Juniors 5–0; Rochester NY FC 0–0. WNY Flash Rochester — Croatia Juniors 2–0; Rochester NY FC 0–2.
What's at stake
| Croatia Juniors | Rochester NY FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 7th |
| Games left | 11 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 1% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.5 | 7.5 |
How the results connect
9 chains
7 favour Croatia Juniors, 0 favour Rochester NY FC, 2 even; average margin +4.0 goals toward Croatia Juniors.
- 0Croatia Juniors drew with Rochester NY FC 1–1
- +3Croatia Juniors beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3–0 → Pittsburgh Riverhounds drew with Rochester NY FC 2–2
- +4Croatia Juniors beat WNY Flash Rochester 2–0 → WNY Flash Rochester beat Rochester NY FC 2–0
- +5Croatia Juniors beat WNY Flash 5–0 → WNY Flash drew with Rochester NY FC 0–0
- +6Croatia Juniors lost to Steel City FC 0–2 → Steel City FC beat Rochester NY FC 8–0
- 0Croatia Juniors lost to Steel City FC 0–2 → Steel City FC beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3–1 → Pittsburgh Riverhounds drew with Rochester NY FC 2–2
Full picture: Croatia Juniors · Rochester NY FC · GLA BU14 standings