Bloomingdale Lightning

ECNL Regional League Boys · Chicago Metro BU18/19 · 7 teams · BLFC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 hours ago.

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1st

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

55% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.1

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 6, TBD

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Bloomingdale Lightning
1st · 0.00 PPG

Northern Indiana Express
6th · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

47% 18% 35%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)

Season so far	Bloomingdale Lightning	Northern Indiana Express
Position	1st	6th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Northern Indiana Express average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Northern Indiana Express game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Bloomingdale Lightning – Northern Indiana Express) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Mar 1 – Sun Mar 7); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	3rd▼ down 2
Win 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Draw 1.00 PPG	1st— holds	3rd▼ down 2	3rd▼ down 2
Loss 0.00 PPG	7th▼ down 6	7th▼ down 6	7th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

13% finish 1st

55% top 4

45% below the top 4

4.1 average finish

1st 13%
2nd 15%
3rd 13%
4th 14%
5th 16%
6th 15%
7th 15%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 1st hardest of 7

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Northern Indiana Express 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.58	Swing game
Sun Mar 7 TBD	FC 1974 Libertyville 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat Mar 13 TBD	Roadrunners SC 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.47	Swing game
Sun Mar 14 TBD	Chicago Soccer Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Chicago City SC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.44	Swing game
Sun Apr 4 TBD	FC 1974 Libertyville 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.47	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Northern Indiana Express 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.43	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	Force 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.45	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Roadrunners SC 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.43	Upside
Sat May 8 TBD	Force 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat May 15 TBD	Chicago City SC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat May 22 TBD	Chicago Soccer Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Bloomingdale Lightning

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 6 vs Northern Indiana Express · Sun Mar 7 at FC 1974 Libertyville · Sat Mar 13 vs Roadrunners SC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Force (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Force (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Chicago City SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 6 vs Chicago Soccer Academy · Sun Mar 14 at Northern Indiana Express · Sat Mar 20 at Bloomingdale Lightning See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Force (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Force (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Chicago Soccer Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 6 at Chicago City SC · Sun Mar 14 vs Bloomingdale Lightning · Sat Apr 17 at Force See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Force (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Force (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 22	at	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC 1974 Libertyville

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Mar 7 vs Bloomingdale Lightning · Sat Mar 13 at Force · Sun Mar 14 at Roadrunners SC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Force (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Force (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 22	at	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Force

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 13 vs FC 1974 Libertyville · Sat Apr 3 vs Chicago City SC · Sun Apr 4 vs Northern Indiana Express See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 22	at	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Northern Indiana Express

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 6 at Bloomingdale Lightning · Sun Mar 14 vs Chicago City SC · Sat Mar 20 vs Roadrunners SC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Force (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Roadrunners SC (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Force (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	vs	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Roadrunners SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 13 at Bloomingdale Lightning · Sun Mar 14 vs FC 1974 Libertyville · Sat Mar 20 at Northern Indiana Express See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Northern Indiana Express (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Bloomingdale Lightning (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC 1974 Libertyville (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Chicago City SC (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Force (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Chicago Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Force (5th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.