NCFC Youth Elite

ECNL Regional League Boys · Carolinas BU15 · 10 teams · NCFC Youth (all teams)

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7th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

37% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.8

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 12, TBD

Open the match preview →

NCFC Youth Elite
7th · 0.00 PPG

NC Fusion
6th · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

35% 18% 47%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so far	NCFC Youth Elite	NC Fusion
Position	7th	6th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
NC Fusion average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
NC Fusion sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above NC Fusion on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the NC Fusion game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NCFC Youth Elite – NC Fusion) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 5	7th— holds	8th▼ down 1
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 6	1st▲ up 6	6th▲ up 1
Draw 1.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 5	8th▼ down 1	8th▼ down 1
Loss 0.00 PPG	10th▼ down 3	10th▼ down 3	10th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

8% finish 1st

37% top 4

63% below the top 4

5.8 average finish

1st 8%
2nd 9%
3rd 10%
4th 10%
5th 9%
6th 10%
7th 10%
8th 10%
9th 13%
10th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Catawba Valley YSA	0.00 (+0.00)	8th (1.41)	Already ahead
2	Charlotte SA Blue	0.00 (+0.00)	4th (1.41)	Already ahead
3	Charlotte SA White	0.00 (+0.00)	5th (1.41)	Already ahead
4	Highland FC	0.00 (+0.00)	6th (1.41)	Already ahead
5	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC	0.00 (+0.00)	1st (1.45)	Already ahead
6	NC Fusion	0.00 (+0.00)	9th (1.37)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 7th hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Dec 12 TBD	NC Fusion 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Jan 30 TBD	Charlotte SA White 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sun Jan 31 TBD	Charlotte SA Blue 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sun Feb 7 TBD	NCFC Youth Premier 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.33	Swing game
Sat Feb 27 TBD	Highland FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.31	Upside
Sun Feb 28 TBD	Catawba Valley YSA 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.30	Upside
Sat Mar 6 03:00 PM	NCFC Youth Premier 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away WRAL	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.29	Upside
Sun Mar 7 TBD	Villarreal Force Academy 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.28	Upside
Sun Mar 14 TBD	NC Fusion 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.32	Swing game
Sat Apr 10 02:00 PM	Villarreal Force Academy 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home WRAL	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.34	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Wilmington Hammerheads 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.33	Upside
Sun Apr 18 TBD	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.33	Upside
Sat May 1 TBD	Charlotte SA White 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.35	Swing game
Sun May 2 TBD	Charlotte SA Blue 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.36	Swing game
Sat May 8 TBD	Wilmington Hammerheads 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.35	Upside
Sun May 9 TBD	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.35	Upside
Sat May 15 12:00 PM	Highland FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home WRAL	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.36	Swing game
Sun May 16 09:00 AM	Catawba Valley YSA 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home WRAL	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.37	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Catawba Valley YSA

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Wilmington Hammerheads · Sat Jan 16 at Highland FC · Sun Jan 24 vs Jacksonville Hammerheads FC See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Charlotte SA Blue

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Villarreal Force Academy · Sun Dec 13 at NCFC Youth Premier · Sat Jan 30 vs NC Fusion See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Charlotte SA White

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at NCFC Youth Premier · Sun Dec 13 at Villarreal Force Academy · Sat Jan 30 vs NCFC Youth Elite See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Highland FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Jan 16 vs Catawba Valley YSA · Sat Jan 23 vs Jacksonville Hammerheads FC · Sun Jan 24 vs Wilmington Hammerheads See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Jacksonville Hammerheads FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Jan 23 at Highland FC · Sun Jan 24 at Catawba Valley YSA · Sat Feb 6 at Villarreal Force Academy See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NC Fusion

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs NCFC Youth Elite · Sat Jan 30 at Charlotte SA Blue · Sun Jan 31 at Charlotte SA White See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 23	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NCFC Youth Elite

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at NC Fusion · Sat Jan 30 at Charlotte SA White · Sun Jan 31 at Charlotte SA Blue See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NCFC Youth Premier

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Charlotte SA White · Sun Dec 13 vs Charlotte SA Blue · Sat Jan 30 vs Wilmington Hammerheads See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 23	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Villarreal Force Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Charlotte SA Blue · Sun Dec 13 vs Charlotte SA White · Sat Feb 6 vs Jacksonville Hammerheads FC See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Wilmington Hammerheads (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Wilmington Hammerheads

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Catawba Valley YSA · Sun Jan 24 at Highland FC · Sat Jan 30 at NCFC Youth Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Catawba Valley YSA (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Highland FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Villarreal Force Academy (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	Jacksonville Hammerheads FC (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	NCFC Youth Elite (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	NC Fusion (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Charlotte SA White (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Charlotte SA Blue (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	at	NCFC Youth Premier (8th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.