Tennessee SC
ECNL Girls · Ohio Valley GU15 · 6 teams · Tennessee SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 12, 09:00 AM
Bethesda Sports Park, Field 1 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Tennessee SC | Racing Louisville Academy |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Racing Louisville Academy average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Racing Louisville Academy sit 5th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Racing Louisville Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Racing Louisville Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Tennessee SC – Racing Louisville Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 4 | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 | 5th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 4 | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 16%
- 2nd 17%
- 3rd 18%
- 4th 17%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 17%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Alliance TN | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.46) | Already ahead |
| 2 | FC Pride Elite | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Ohio Elite SA | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.44) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Racing Louisville Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.44) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 6
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 12 09:00 AM |
Racing Louisville Academy 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Bethesda Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 09:00 AM |
Ohio Elite SA 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Bethesda Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 30 12:00 PM |
FC Alliance TN 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Bethesda Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 10:00 AM |
FC Pride Elite 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Bethesda Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 09:00 AM |
Cleveland Force SC |
Home Richard Siegel Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
Internationals SC |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 10:00 AM |
Ohio Elite SA 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Seven Hills School |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.53 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 09:00 AM |
Racing Louisville Academy 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.49 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
GTFC Impact |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.50 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Ohio Premier |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Indy Eleven 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.49 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 02:30 PM |
FC Pride Elite 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
FC Pride Performance Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
FC Alliance TN 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Indy Eleven 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.46 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Alliance TN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Ohio Elite SA · Sun Dec 13 vs Racing Louisville Academy · Sat Jan 30 at Tennessee SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Pride Elite | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Indy Eleven · Sun Feb 21 at Tennessee SC · Sat Mar 6 vs Indy Eleven See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Indy Eleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs FC Pride Elite · Sun Dec 20 at Racing Louisville Academy · Sat Feb 13 at Ohio Elite SA See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Ohio Elite SA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Racing Louisville Academy · Sat Dec 12 at FC Alliance TN · Sun Dec 13 at Tennessee SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Racing Louisville Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 21 at Ohio Elite SA · Sat Dec 12 at Tennessee SC · Sun Dec 13 at FC Alliance TN See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Tennessee SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Racing Louisville Academy · Sun Dec 13 vs Ohio Elite SA · Sat Jan 30 vs FC Alliance TN See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.