Oregon Surf

ECNL Girls · Northwest GU15 · 10 teams · Oregon Surf SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.

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5th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

43% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.3

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 12, TBD

Open the match preview →

Oregon Surf
5th · 0.00 PPG

Portland Thorns
7th · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

35% 18% 47%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so far	Oregon Surf	Portland Thorns
Position	5th	7th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Portland Thorns average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
La Roca FC sit 4th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above La Roca FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Portland Thorns game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oregon Surf – Portland Thorns) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	8th▼ down 3	9th▼ down 4
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	1st▲ up 4	8th▼ down 3
Draw 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	9th▼ down 4	9th▼ down 4
Loss 0.00 PPG	10th▼ down 5	10th▼ down 5	10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

10% finish 1st

43% top 4

57% below the top 4

5.3 average finish

1st 10%
2nd 11%
3rd 11%
4th 11%
5th 10%
6th 10%
7th 11%
8th 10%
9th 9%
10th 8%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Avalanche	0.00 (+0.00)	1st (1.42)	Already ahead
2	Boise Thorns	0.00 (+0.00)	3rd (1.41)	Already ahead
3	Eastside FC	0.00 (+0.00)	6th (1.41)	Already ahead
4	La Roca FC	0.00 (+0.00)	2nd (1.42)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 5th hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Dec 12 TBD	Portland Thorns 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Jan 16 TBD	Boise Thorns 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Jan 17 TBD	PacNW SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.35	Upside
Sat Jan 30 TBD	XF 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.33	Upside
Sat Feb 6 TBD	Portland Thorns 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.38	Swing game
Sat Feb 27 09:00 AM	Washington Premier 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away WPFC Field Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.35	Upside
Sun Feb 28 11:00 AM	Eastside FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.34	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	La Roca FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.37	Swing game
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Avalanche 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.39	Swing game
Sun Mar 7 TBD	La Roca FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Mar 7 TBD	Avalanche 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.42	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 09:30 AM	Seattle United 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away TBD	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sun Mar 14 TBD	Eastside FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.42	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Boise Thorns 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat Apr 10 TBD	PacNW SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.42	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 TBD	Washington Premier 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.43	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 11:15 AM	La Roca FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away La Roca Park	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.42	Upside
Sat Apr 17 TBD	Avalanche 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM	Avalanche 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away St. Joseph Catholic High School · grass	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.40	Upside
Sun Apr 18 TBD	La Roca FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	Seattle United 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.40	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 TBD	XF 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Avalanche

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Washington Premier · Sun Dec 13 at Seattle United · Sat Jan 30 at PacNW SC See all 23 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Boise Thorns

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at XF · Sun Dec 13 at XF · Sat Jan 16 at Oregon Surf See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	XF (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	XF (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at PacNW SC · Sat Jan 23 vs Portland Thorns · Sat Jan 30 vs La Roca FC See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	XF (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

La Roca FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Seattle United · Sun Dec 13 at Washington Premier · Sat Jan 30 at Eastside FC See all 23 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oregon Surf

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Portland Thorns · Sat Jan 16 vs Boise Thorns · Sun Jan 17 at PacNW SC See all 22 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	XF (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PacNW SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Eastside FC · Sat Jan 16 vs Portland Thorns · Sun Jan 17 vs Oregon Surf See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	XF (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Portland Thorns

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Oregon Surf · Sat Jan 16 at PacNW SC · Sun Jan 17 vs Boise Thorns See all 22 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	XF (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Seattle United

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs La Roca FC · Sun Dec 13 vs Avalanche · Sat Jan 23 at Washington Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	XF (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Washington Premier

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Avalanche · Sun Dec 13 vs La Roca FC · Sun Jan 17 at XF See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	XF (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	XF (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Boise Thorns · Sun Dec 13 vs Boise Thorns · Sun Jan 17 vs Washington Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Boise Thorns (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	Washington Premier (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Seattle United (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Eastside FC (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	PacNW SC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Portland Thorns (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Oregon Surf (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Avalanche (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	La Roca FC (4th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.