Seattle United
ECNL Girls · Northwest GU13 · 10 teams · Seattle United (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 12, 06:00 AM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Seattle United | La Roca FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
La Roca FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Portland Thorns sit 7th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Portland Thorns on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the La Roca FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Seattle United – La Roca FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 6 | 10th▼ down 2 | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 7 | 1st▲ up 7 | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 6 | 10th▼ down 2 | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
10th▼ down 2 | 10th▼ down 2 | 10th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 10%
- 2nd 10%
- 3rd 10%
- 4th 10%
- 5th 9%
- 6th 10%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 10%
- 9th 9%
- 10th 12%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avalanche | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.42) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Boise Thorns | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | Eastside FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 4 | La Roca FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.42) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Oregon Surf | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 6 | PacNW SC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 7 | Portland Thorns | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 8th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 12 06:00 AM |
La Roca FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 06:00 AM |
Avalanche 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 23 01:00 PM |
Washington Premier 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 07:30 AM |
Boise Thorns 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sun Jan 31 06:00 AM |
Portland Thorns 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 7 09:30 AM |
XF 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.52 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 06:00 AM |
PacNW SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.53 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
XF 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.49 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 06:00 AM |
Oregon Surf 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.50 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
PacNW SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM |
Eastside FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 01:30 PM |
La Roca FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
La Roca Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 09:00 AM |
Avalanche 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
St. Joseph Catholic High School · grass |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Boise Thorns 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Oregon Surf 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Portland Thorns 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 08:00 AM |
Washington Premier 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 07:30 AM |
Eastside FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Avalanche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Washington Premier · Sun Dec 13 at Seattle United · Sat Jan 30 at PacNW SC See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Boise Thorns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at XF · Sun Dec 13 at XF · Sat Jan 16 at Oregon Surf See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Eastside FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at PacNW SC · Sat Jan 23 vs Portland Thorns · Sat Jan 30 vs La Roca FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | La Roca FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Seattle United · Sun Dec 13 at Washington Premier · Sat Jan 30 at Eastside FC See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Oregon Surf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Portland Thorns · Sat Jan 16 vs Boise Thorns · Sun Jan 17 at PacNW SC See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PacNW SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Eastside FC · Sat Jan 16 vs Portland Thorns · Sun Jan 17 vs Oregon Surf See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Portland Thorns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Oregon Surf · Sat Jan 16 at PacNW SC · Sun Jan 17 vs Boise Thorns See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Seattle United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs La Roca FC · Sun Dec 13 vs Avalanche · Sat Jan 23 at Washington Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Washington Premier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Avalanche · Sun Dec 13 vs La Roca FC · Sun Jan 17 at XF See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | XF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Boise Thorns · Sun Dec 13 vs Boise Thorns · Sun Jan 17 vs Washington Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.