Preview · Saturday, May 1, TBD
Mustang SC vs Pleasanton RAGE
Forecast
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.8 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Pleasanton RAGE |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 5-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | L L W L W |
| Biggest win | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United | 8–1 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Bay Area Surf | 0–5 vs San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.06 | -0.17 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.30 | -0.32 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 6–1 (away for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–0; Pleasanton RAGE 2–1. MVLA — Mustang SC 1–2; Pleasanton RAGE 0–5. Marin FC — Mustang SC 8–0; Pleasanton RAGE 5–1. Placer United — Mustang SC 0–1; Pleasanton RAGE 0–1. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 5–1; Pleasanton RAGE 8–1. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 10–1; Pleasanton RAGE 2–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Pleasanton RAGE | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 7th |
| Games left | 12 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 78% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.0 | 7.4 |
How the results connect
55 chains
40 favour Mustang SC, 12 favour Pleasanton RAGE, 3 even; average margin +2.6 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +5Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 6–1
- 0Mustang SC lost to Placer United 0–1 → Placer United beat Pleasanton RAGE 1–0
- -3Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 5–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Pleasanton RAGE 1–8
- +3Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 4–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Pleasanton RAGE 1–2
- +4Mustang SC beat Marin FC 8–0 → Marin FC lost to Pleasanton RAGE 1–5
- +4Mustang SC lost to MVLA 1–2 → MVLA beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0
Full picture: Mustang SC · Pleasanton RAGE · Northern Cal GU17 standings