Preview · Saturday, Apr 17, TBD
Mustang SC vs Santa Rosa United
Forecast
Most likely score 7–0 (expected goals 7.1 home, 0.7 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 12th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 0-0-10 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 5.1 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 6 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United | — |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Bay Area Surf | 1–10 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.05 | -3.31 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | +0.05 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 10–1 (away for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–0; Santa Rosa United 0–6. Force — Mustang SC 1–1; Santa Rosa United 0–5. Bay Area Surf — Mustang SC 0–2; Santa Rosa United 0–2. Marin FC — Mustang SC 8–0; Santa Rosa United 0–4. Placer United — Mustang SC 0–1; Santa Rosa United 3–4. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 5–1; Santa Rosa United 2–7. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 6–1; Santa Rosa United 0–2.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 12th |
| Games left | 12 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 71% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.0 | 11.9 |
How the results connect
63 chains
59 favour Mustang SC, 1 favour Santa Rosa United, 3 even; average margin +6.7 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +9Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 10–1
- 0Mustang SC lost to Placer United 0–1 → Placer United beat Santa Rosa United 4–3
- 0Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2 → Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0
- +5Mustang SC drew with Force 1–1 → Force beat Santa Rosa United 5–0
- +7Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 6–1 → Pleasanton RAGE beat Santa Rosa United 2–0
- +9Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 5–1 → Stanislaus Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–2
Full picture: Mustang SC · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU17 standings