Preview · Saturday, Oct 31, 02:25 PM
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Willow Glen High School · Football Stadium ↗ · turf? · 95125
Forecast
49%
22%
30%
Bay Area Surf windrawMustang SC win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 2.0 home, 1.5 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 5-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.78 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 9–0 at Marin FC | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at San Juan SC | 0–2 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.98 | +2.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.92 | -0.31 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 2–0 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 9–0; Mustang SC 8–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Mustang SC 10–1. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Mustang SC 5–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Mustang SC 4–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 5th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 80% |
| Chance of 1st | 9% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.8 | 3.9 |
How the results connect
43 chains
16 favour Bay Area Surf, 24 favour Mustang SC, 3 even; average margin -1.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 2–0
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 9–0 → Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–8
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–5
- -7Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 2–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 1–10
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–0 → Davis Legacy beat Marin FC 4–1 → Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–8
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU17 standings