Preview · Saturday, Oct 24, 12:00 PM
Mustang SC vs COSC
Forecast
Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.8 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | COSC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 3-2-5 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 1.10 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 3.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | L D L D L |
| Biggest win | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United | 7–3 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Bay Area Surf | 0–9 vs MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.06 | -0.73 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.30 | +0.08 |
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–0; COSC 0–1. Force — Mustang SC 1–1; COSC 1–7. MVLA — Mustang SC 1–2; COSC 0–9. Bay Area Surf — Mustang SC 0–2; COSC 1–2. Marin FC — Mustang SC 8–0; COSC 5–2. Placer United — Mustang SC 0–1; COSC 1–1. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 5–1; COSC 7–3. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 10–1; COSC 5–2. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 6–1; COSC 1–3.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | COSC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 9th |
| Games left | 12 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 79% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.0 | 8.7 |
How the results connect
71 chains
55 favour Mustang SC, 9 favour COSC, 7 even; average margin +3.6 goals toward Mustang SC.
- 0Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 5–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to COSC 3–7
- -1Mustang SC lost to Placer United 0–1 → Placer United drew with COSC 1–1
- -1Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2 → Bay Area Surf beat COSC 2–1
- +5Mustang SC beat Marin FC 8–0 → Marin FC lost to COSC 2–5
- +5Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 4–0 → Davis Legacy beat COSC 1–0
- +6Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 10–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to COSC 2–5
Full picture: Mustang SC · COSC · Northern Cal GU17 standings