Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 12:00 PM
Placer United 1–0 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 21% home, 22% draw, 57% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Placer United | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-2 | 5-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.11 | 1.78 |
| Goals for / game | 1.6 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W W W | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 2–0 at Stanislaus Surf | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Force | 0–2 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.34 | +2.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.20 | -0.30 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 1–0 (home for Placer United)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Placer United 4–3; Mustang SC 10–1. Force — Placer United 0–2; Mustang SC 1–1. Davis Legacy — Placer United 3–2; Mustang SC 4–0. Stanislaus Surf — Placer United 2–0; Mustang SC 5–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Placer United 1–0; Mustang SC 6–1. MVLA — Placer United 1–2; Mustang SC 1–2.
What's at stake
| Placer United | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 5th |
| Games left | 13 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 12% | 78% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.4 | 4.0 |
How the results connect
53 chains
10 favour Placer United, 38 favour Mustang SC, 5 even; average margin -2.9 goals toward Placer United.
- +1Placer United beat Mustang SC 1–0
- 0Placer United lost to MVLA 1–2 → MVLA beat Mustang SC 2–1
- -2Placer United beat Stanislaus Surf 2–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 1–5
- -2Placer United lost to Force 0–2 → Force drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- -3Placer United beat Davis Legacy 3–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- -4Placer United beat Pleasanton RAGE 1–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 1–6
Full picture: Placer United · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU17 standings