Result · Saturday, Sep 12, 07:00 PM
Mustang SC 0–2 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 39% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 38% home, 22% draw, 39% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 6-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 2.57 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United | 9–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Bay Area Surf | 1–2 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.06 | +1.99 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.30 | -0.92 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 0–2 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–0; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Marin FC — Mustang SC 8–0; Bay Area Surf 9–0. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 5–1; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 10–1; Bay Area Surf 2–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 80% | 96% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 7% |
| Average finish | 3.9 | 3.0 |
How the results connect
43 chains
24 favour Mustang SC, 16 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 even; average margin +1.1 goals toward Mustang SC.
- -2Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- -1Mustang SC beat Marin FC 8–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–9
- -1Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 4–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- -2Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 5–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- +7Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 10–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- 0Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 6–1 → Pleasanton RAGE beat Marin FC 5–1 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–9
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU17 standings