Result · Sunday, Aug 30, 03:00 PM
Mustang SC 1–2 MVLA
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 52% chance. Pre-match odds were 28% home, 20% draw, 52% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 8-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United | 11–0 vs Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Bay Area Surf | 2–3 at Force |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.06 | +3.03 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.30 | -0.11 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 1–2 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–0; MVLA 2–0. Force — Mustang SC 1–1; MVLA 2–3. Marin FC — Mustang SC 8–0; MVLA 11–0. Placer United — Mustang SC 0–1; MVLA 2–1. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 5–1; MVLA 7–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 6–1; MVLA 5–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 78% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 66% |
| Average finish | 4.0 | 1.4 |
How the results connect
54 chains
17 favour Mustang SC, 33 favour MVLA, 4 even; average margin -1.6 goals toward Mustang SC.
- -1Mustang SC lost to MVLA 1–2
- 0Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 6–1 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to MVLA 0–5
- +1Mustang SC drew with Force 1–1 → Force beat MVLA 3–2
- -2Mustang SC lost to Placer United 0–1 → Placer United lost to MVLA 1–2
- +2Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 4–0 → Davis Legacy lost to MVLA 0–2
- -3Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 5–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 0–7
Full picture: Mustang SC · MVLA · Northern Cal GU17 standings