Result · Saturday, Aug 29, 03:00 PM
Mustang SC 1–1 Force
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 34% home, 22% draw, 44% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Force |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-3 | 7-1-0 |
| Points per game | 1.78 | 2.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United | 7–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.06 | +2.30 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.30 | -0.51 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 1–1 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: MVLA — Mustang SC 1–2; Force 3–2. Marin FC — Mustang SC 8–0; Force 6–0. Placer United — Mustang SC 0–1; Force 2–0. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 5–1; Force 7–0. Santa Rosa United — Mustang SC 10–1; Force 5–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Force | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 1st |
| Games left | 12 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 78% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 27% |
| Average finish | 4.0 | 2.0 |
How the results connect
48 chains
22 favour Mustang SC, 23 favour Force, 3 even; average margin -0.4 goals toward Mustang SC.
- 0Mustang SC drew with Force 1–1
- +2Mustang SC beat Marin FC 8–0 → Marin FC lost to Force 0–6
- -2Mustang SC lost to MVLA 1–2 → MVLA lost to Force 2–3
- -3Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 5–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Force 0–7
- -3Mustang SC lost to Placer United 0–1 → Placer United lost to Force 0–2
- +4Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 10–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Force 0–5
Full picture: Mustang SC · Force · Northern Cal GU17 standings