Preview · Saturday, May 15, TBD
Force vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
26%
21%
53%
Force windrawBay Area Surf win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 home, 2.1 away)
| Season so far | Force | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 4-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W W | W W W D L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Mustang SC | 0–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.77 | +1.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.19 | -0.53 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Force 2–2; Bay Area Surf 0–2. Mustang SC — Force 0–2; Bay Area Surf 0–1. COSC — Force 4–2; Bay Area Surf 6–0. San Juan SC — Force 3–1; Bay Area Surf 0–0. Stanislaus Surf — Force 7–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0.
What's at stake
| Force | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 5th |
| Games left | 15 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 30% | 86% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 2% |
| Average finish | 5.2 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
44 chains
15 favour Force, 27 favour Bay Area Surf, 2 even; average margin -1.2 goals toward Force.
- +1Force beat Stanislaus Surf 7–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- -1Force lost to Mustang SC 0–2 → Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 1–0
- +2Force beat San Juan SC 3–1 → San Juan SC drew with Bay Area Surf 0–0
- +2Force drew with Marin FC 2–2 → Marin FC beat Bay Area Surf 2–0
- -4Force beat COSC 4–2 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- 0Force lost to MVLA 0–2 → MVLA beat San Juan SC 4–2 → San Juan SC drew with Bay Area Surf 0–0
Full picture: Force · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU16 standings