Preview · Saturday, May 1, 10:00 AM
COSC vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
1%
95%
COSC windrawBay Area Surf win
Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.6 home, 4.7 away)
| Season so far | COSC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-9 | 4-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.30 | 1.86 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 6 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L W L | W W W D L |
| Biggest win | 2–1 vs San Juan SC | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at Davis Legacy | 0–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.30 | +1.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.16 | -0.53 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 0–6 (away for COSC)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — COSC 2–3; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Stanislaus Surf — COSC 1–2; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Marin FC — COSC 0–5; Bay Area Surf 0–2. Davis Legacy — COSC 0–7; Bay Area Surf 6–2. San Juan SC — COSC 2–1; Bay Area Surf 0–0.
What's at stake
| COSC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 12th | 5th |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 85% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 2% |
| Average finish | 11.4 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
48 chains
3 favour COSC, 42 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 even; average margin -4.7 goals toward COSC.
- -6COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- +1COSC beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC drew with Bay Area Surf 0–0
- -3COSC lost to Marin FC 0–5 → Marin FC beat Bay Area Surf 2–0
- -6COSC lost to Santa Rosa United 2–3 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- -7COSC lost to Stanislaus Surf 1–2 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- -11COSC lost to Davis Legacy 0–7 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 2–6
Full picture: COSC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU16 standings