Preview · Sunday, Mar 21, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Marin FC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 home, 1.1 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 4-1-5 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 1.30 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D L | L W W L L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 7–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Marin FC | 0–3 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.59 | +0.42 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | -0.01 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 0–2 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Marin FC 7–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 0–1; Marin FC 0–3. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–0; Marin FC 1–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Marin FC 3–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 6–2; Marin FC 0–2. COSC — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Marin FC 5–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 7th |
| Games left | 15 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 84% | 2% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 6.8 |
How the results connect
47 chains
35 favour Bay Area Surf, 9 favour Marin FC, 3 even; average margin +2.3 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- -2Bay Area Surf lost to Marin FC 0–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat COSC 6–0 → COSC lost to Marin FC 0–5
- +1Bay Area Surf drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC beat Marin FC 2–1
- +2Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1 → Mustang SC beat Marin FC 3–0
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 5–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Marin FC 0–7
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Marin FC 1–3
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Marin FC · Northern Cal GU16 standings