Preview · Saturday, Nov 21, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Pleasanton RAGE
Forecast
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.0 home, 1.0 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Pleasanton RAGE |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 6-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.11 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D L | L L W D W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 4–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Marin FC | 0–3 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.59 | +0.46 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | -0.25 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 0–2; Pleasanton RAGE 2–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Pleasanton RAGE 3–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 0–1; Pleasanton RAGE 0–3. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–0; Pleasanton RAGE 3–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Pleasanton RAGE 1–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 6–2; Pleasanton RAGE 3–2. COSC — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Pleasanton RAGE 4–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Pleasanton RAGE | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 3rd |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 83% | 30% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 5.2 |
How the results connect
56 chains
33 favour Bay Area Surf, 18 favour Pleasanton RAGE, 5 even; average margin +1.6 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- -1Bay Area Surf drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC lost to Pleasanton RAGE 2–3
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 6–0 → COSC lost to Pleasanton RAGE 0–4
- +2Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1 → Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 3–0
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 6–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Pleasanton RAGE 2–3
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 5–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Pleasanton RAGE 1–3
- -4Bay Area Surf lost to Marin FC 0–2 → Marin FC lost to Pleasanton RAGE 0–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Pleasanton RAGE · Northern Cal GU16 standings