Preview · Saturday, Oct 24, 12:50 PM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 8-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D L | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 5–0 at COSC |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Marin FC | 1–2 at Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.59 | +1.43 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | -0.31 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 0–2; MVLA 2–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 5–0; MVLA 5–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 0–1; MVLA 1–2. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–0; MVLA 4–2. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 6–0; MVLA 2–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 6–2; MVLA 1–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 6–0; MVLA 5–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 2nd |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 84% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 18% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 2.0 |
How the results connect
61 chains
32 favour Bay Area Surf, 26 favour MVLA, 3 even; average margin +0.3 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1 → Mustang SC beat MVLA 2–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat COSC 6–0 → COSC lost to MVLA 0–5
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 5–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to MVLA 1–5
- -2Bay Area Surf drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC lost to MVLA 2–4
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 6–2 → Davis Legacy drew with MVLA 1–1
- +4Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 6–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 0–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Northern Cal GU16 standings