Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 12:00 PM
Davis Legacy 2–6 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 48% chance. Pre-match odds were 31% home, 21% draw, 48% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Davis Legacy | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-2 | 4-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 1.86 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W W | W W W D L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs COSC | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 2–6 vs Bay Area Surf | 0–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.15 | +1.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.25 | -0.53 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 2–6 (home for Davis Legacy)
Common opponents: Mustang SC — Davis Legacy 1–1; Bay Area Surf 0–1. COSC — Davis Legacy 7–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Davis Legacy 5–1; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Marin FC — Davis Legacy 2–0; Bay Area Surf 0–2. Stanislaus Surf — Davis Legacy 5–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0.
What's at stake
| Davis Legacy | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 5th |
| Games left | 13 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 54% | 85% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 2% |
| Average finish | 4.5 | 3.5 |
How the results connect
44 chains
21 favour Davis Legacy, 17 favour Bay Area Surf, 6 even; average margin +0.4 goals toward Davis Legacy.
- -4Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 2–6
- -1Davis Legacy beat Stanislaus Surf 5–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- -1Davis Legacy beat Santa Rosa United 5–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- +1Davis Legacy beat COSC 7–0 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- +1Davis Legacy drew with Mustang SC 1–1 → Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 1–0
- +4Davis Legacy beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC beat Bay Area Surf 2–0
Full picture: Davis Legacy · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU16 standings