Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 10:00 AM
Marin FC 0–3 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 65% chance. Pre-match odds were 15% home, 20% draw, 65% away, most likely 0–2.
| Season so far | Marin FC | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-5 | 8-2-0 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 2.60 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W L L | W D W W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Santa Rosa United | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs Mustang SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.42 | +1.78 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.01 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 0–3 (home for Marin FC)
Common opponents: Force — Marin FC 2–2; Mustang SC 2–0. Bay Area Surf — Marin FC 2–0; Mustang SC 1–0. MVLA — Marin FC 0–2; Mustang SC 2–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Marin FC 0–2; Mustang SC 3–0. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 0–2; Mustang SC 1–1. Stanislaus Surf — Marin FC 3–1; Mustang SC 1–0. Santa Rosa United — Marin FC 7–0; Mustang SC 10–1. San Juan SC — Marin FC 1–2; Mustang SC 0–0.
What's at stake
| Marin FC | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 1st |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 3% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 82% |
| Average finish | 6.8 | 1.2 |
How the results connect
65 chains
17 favour Marin FC, 44 favour Mustang SC, 4 even; average margin -1.5 goals toward Marin FC.
- -3Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–3
- -1Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC drew with Mustang SC 0–0
- +1Marin FC beat Stanislaus Surf 3–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- +1Marin FC beat Bay Area Surf 2–0 → Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- -2Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 7–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 1–10
- -2Marin FC lost to Davis Legacy 0–2 → Davis Legacy drew with Mustang SC 1–1
Full picture: Marin FC · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU16 standings