Result · Sunday, Aug 30, TBD
Bay Area Surf 5–0 Santa Rosa United
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 98% chance. Pre-match odds were 98% home, 1% draw, 0% away, most likely 6–0.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-2 | 1-0-8 |
| Points per game | 1.86 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 4.8 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D L | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 3–2 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at Marin FC | 1–10 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.59 | -2.75 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | +0.50 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 5–0 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 0–2; Santa Rosa United 0–7. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 0–1; Santa Rosa United 1–10. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–0; Santa Rosa United 0–2. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 6–2; Santa Rosa United 1–5. COSC — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Santa Rosa United 3–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 11th |
| Games left | 15 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 85% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.4 | 11.2 |
How the results connect
44 chains
39 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 favour Santa Rosa United, 2 even; average margin +5.7 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +5Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 5–0
- +2Bay Area Surf drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 2–0
- +5Bay Area Surf beat COSC 6–0 → COSC lost to Santa Rosa United 2–3
- +5Bay Area Surf lost to Marin FC 0–2 → Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 7–0
- +8Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 6–2 → Davis Legacy beat Santa Rosa United 5–1
- +8Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1 → Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 10–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU16 standings