Result · Saturday, Aug 29, 01:00 PM
Marin FC 2–0 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 22% home, 21% draw, 58% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Marin FC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-5 | 4-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.86 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W L L | W W W D L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Santa Rosa United | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs Mustang SC | 0–2 at Marin FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.42 | +1.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.01 | -0.53 |
Already met this season: Aug 29 2–0 (home for Marin FC)
Common opponents: COSC — Marin FC 5–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Mustang SC — Marin FC 0–3; Bay Area Surf 0–1. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 0–2; Bay Area Surf 6–2. Stanislaus Surf — Marin FC 3–1; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Santa Rosa United — Marin FC 7–0; Bay Area Surf 5–0. San Juan SC — Marin FC 1–2; Bay Area Surf 0–0.
What's at stake
| Marin FC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 5th |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 3% | 85% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 2% |
| Average finish | 6.8 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
47 chains
9 favour Marin FC, 35 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 even; average margin -2.3 goals toward Marin FC.
- +2Marin FC beat Bay Area Surf 2–0
- -1Marin FC lost to San Juan SC 1–2 → San Juan SC drew with Bay Area Surf 0–0
- -1Marin FC beat COSC 5–0 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- +2Marin FC beat Santa Rosa United 7–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- -2Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–3 → Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 1–0
- -4Marin FC beat Stanislaus Surf 3–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
Full picture: Marin FC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU16 standings