Result · Saturday, Aug 22, 12:00 PM
Davis Legacy 1–1 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 22% home, 21% draw, 57% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Davis Legacy | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-2 | 8-2-0 |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 2.60 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W W | W D W W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs COSC | 10–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 2–6 vs Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.15 | +1.78 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.25 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Aug 22 1–1 (home for Davis Legacy)
Common opponents: MVLA — Davis Legacy 1–1; Mustang SC 2–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Davis Legacy 2–3; Mustang SC 3–0. Placer United — Davis Legacy 3–0; Mustang SC 4–1. Santa Rosa United — Davis Legacy 5–1; Mustang SC 10–1. Marin FC — Davis Legacy 2–0; Mustang SC 3–0. Bay Area Surf — Davis Legacy 2–6; Mustang SC 1–0. Stanislaus Surf — Davis Legacy 5–0; Mustang SC 1–0.
What's at stake
| Davis Legacy | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 1st |
| Games left | 13 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 57% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 82% |
| Average finish | 4.4 | 1.2 |
How the results connect
60 chains
19 favour Davis Legacy, 29 favour Mustang SC, 12 even; average margin -0.7 goals toward Davis Legacy.
- 0Davis Legacy drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- 0Davis Legacy beat Placer United 3–0 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 1–4
- -1Davis Legacy beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–3
- -1Davis Legacy drew with MVLA 1–1 → MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2
- +4Davis Legacy beat Stanislaus Surf 5–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- -4Davis Legacy lost to Pleasanton RAGE 2–3 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–3
Full picture: Davis Legacy · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU16 standings