Preview · Saturday, Apr 17, TBD
Mustang SC vs Santa Rosa United
Forecast
Most likely score 6–0 (expected goals 6.5 home, 0.5 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-3-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 0.70 |
| Goals for / game | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 3.9 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | L D L L W |
| Biggest win | 12–0 at Santa Rosa United | 3–0 at Davis Legacy |
| Worst loss | — | 0–12 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.85 | -2.23 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.45 | +0.35 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 12–0 (away for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 3–2; Santa Rosa United 3–0. Force — Mustang SC 5–0; Santa Rosa United 0–1. MVLA — Mustang SC 1–1; Santa Rosa United 0–6. Bay Area Surf — Mustang SC 2–2; Santa Rosa United 1–7. Marin FC — Mustang SC 1–1; Santa Rosa United 0–0. Placer United — Mustang SC 8–0; Santa Rosa United 1–2. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 1–0; Santa Rosa United 0–4. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 7–0; Santa Rosa United 1–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 10th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 45% | 0% |
| Average finish | 1.7 | 10.3 |
How the results connect
66 chains
60 favour Mustang SC, 5 favour Santa Rosa United, 1 even; average margin +5.0 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +12Mustang SC beat Santa Rosa United 12–0
- 0Mustang SC drew with Marin FC 1–1 → Marin FC drew with Santa Rosa United 0–0
- -2Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 3–2 → Davis Legacy lost to Santa Rosa United 0–3
- +5Mustang SC beat San Juan SC 1–0 → San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 4–0
- +6Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 7–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Santa Rosa United 0–1
- +6Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2 → Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 7–1
Full picture: Mustang SC · Santa Rosa United · Northern Cal GU15 standings