Preview · Saturday, Mar 20, TBD
Santa Rosa United vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.7 home, 4.4 away)
| Season so far | Santa Rosa United | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-7 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 5 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L L W | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Davis Legacy | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 0–12 vs Mustang SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.23 | +1.57 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.35 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 1–7 (away for Santa Rosa United)
Common opponents: COSC — Santa Rosa United 1–7; Bay Area Surf 3–0. San Juan SC — Santa Rosa United 0–4; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Davis Legacy — Santa Rosa United 3–0; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Mustang SC — Santa Rosa United 0–12; Bay Area Surf 2–2. Marin FC — Santa Rosa United 0–0; Bay Area Surf 2–1.
What's at stake
| Santa Rosa United | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 10th | 1st |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 14% |
| Average finish | 10.3 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
6 favour Santa Rosa United, 41 favour Bay Area Surf, 2 even; average margin -4.8 goals toward Santa Rosa United.
- -6Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–7
- -1Santa Rosa United drew with Marin FC 0–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- +2Santa Rosa United beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- -6Santa Rosa United lost to San Juan SC 0–4 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- -9Santa Rosa United lost to COSC 1–7 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -12Santa Rosa United lost to Mustang SC 0–12 → Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
Full picture: Santa Rosa United · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU15 standings