Preview · Saturday, Apr 17, TBD
MVLA vs San Juan SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 home, 2.9 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | San Juan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-2 | 9-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.70 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 5.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L W W | W L W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at Force | 9–1 vs Force |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at San Juan SC | 3–4 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.37 | +2.90 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.24 | -0.23 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–3 (away for MVLA)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 3–1; San Juan SC 3–0. Mustang SC — MVLA 1–2; San Juan SC 3–4. Marin FC — MVLA 4–1; San Juan SC 7–0. Force — MVLA 8–0; San Juan SC 9–1. COSC — MVLA 4–2; San Juan SC 6–2. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 2–1; San Juan SC 4–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 3–0; San Juan SC 6–1. Placer United — MVLA 2–2; San Juan SC 3–2.
What's at stake
| MVLA | San Juan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 96% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 90% |
| Average finish | 2.9 | 1.1 |
How the results connect
70 chains
15 favour MVLA, 44 favour San Juan SC, 11 even; average margin -2.0 goals toward MVLA.
- -2MVLA lost to San Juan SC 1–3
- 0MVLA beat Force 8–0 → Force lost to San Juan SC 1–9
- 0MVLA lost to Mustang SC 1–2 → Mustang SC beat San Juan SC 4–3
- -1MVLA drew with Placer United 2–2 → Placer United lost to San Juan SC 2–3
- -1MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 3–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–3
- -2MVLA beat Pleasanton RAGE 3–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to San Juan SC 1–6
Full picture: MVLA · San Juan SC · Northern Cal GU14 standings