Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 01:00 PM
Arlington Soccer Association 3–3 Wilmington Hammerheads
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #4 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 23% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 38% home, 23% draw, 39% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-2 | 1-2-0 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L D W L | D W D |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs South Carolina Surf | 5–0 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at VDA | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.25 | +0.61 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.71 | -1.00 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 3–3 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: South Carolina Surf — Arlington Soccer Association 2–0; Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 4 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 33% | 38% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.0 | 4.9 |
How the results connect
4 chains
3 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 0 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 1 even; average margin +1.8 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- 0Arlington Soccer Association drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 3–3
- +2Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 2–0 → South Carolina Surf drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1
- +2Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–2 → NCFC Youth NC Courage beat Fairfax Virginia Union 8–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 0–5
- +3Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 0–1 → VDA beat South Carolina Surf 5–1 → South Carolina Surf drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · Wilmington Hammerheads · Mid-Atlantic GU18/19 standings