Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 03:00 PM
Arlington Soccer Association 4–1 Wilmington Hammerheads
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #4 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 68% chance. Pre-match odds were 68% home, 19% draw, 14% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 0-0-3 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W W | L L L |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs Wilmington Hammerheads | — |
| Worst loss | 2–3 vs NCFC Youth NC Courage | 1–4 at Arlington Soccer Association |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.53 | -0.72 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.10 | +0.45 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 4–1 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: South Carolina Surf — Arlington Soccer Association 1–0; Wilmington Hammerheads 1–2.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | Wilmington Hammerheads | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 10th |
| Games left | 4 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 75% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 9.1 |
How the results connect
4 chains
3 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 1 favour Wilmington Hammerheads; average margin +1.8 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- +3Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 4–1
- +2Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 1–0 → South Carolina Surf beat Wilmington Hammerheads 2–1
- -1Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–3 → NCFC Youth NC Courage lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 2–3 → Fairfax Virginia Union beat Wilmington Hammerheads 1–0
- +3Arlington Soccer Association beat VDA 1–0 → VDA beat South Carolina Surf 3–2 → South Carolina Surf beat Wilmington Hammerheads 2–1
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · Wilmington Hammerheads · Mid-Atlantic GU17 standings