Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 11:00 AM
VDA 2–2 South Carolina Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 13% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 79% home, 13% draw, 8% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | VDA | South Carolina Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 1-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W L D L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs NC Fusion | 1–0 at Wilmington Hammerheads |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 at Arlington Soccer Association |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.53 | -0.23 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.18 | +0.57 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–2 (home for VDA)
Common opponents: Arlington Soccer Association — VDA 2–0; South Carolina Surf 1–3. Charlotte SA — VDA 3–1; South Carolina Surf 0–2.
What's at stake
| VDA | South Carolina Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 6th |
| Games left | 5 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 4% |
| Chance of 1st | 38% | 0% |
| Average finish | 1.9 | 6.2 |
How the results connect
5 chains
4 favour VDA, 0 favour South Carolina Surf, 1 even; average margin +2.8 goals toward VDA.
- 0VDA drew with South Carolina Surf 2–2
- +4VDA beat Charlotte SA 3–1 → Charlotte SA beat South Carolina Surf 2–0
- +4VDA beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–0 → Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 3–1
- +2VDA beat Beach FC 4–1 → Beach FC lost to Arlington Soccer Association 0–3 → Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 3–1
- +4VDA beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–0 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–0 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to South Carolina Surf 0–1
Full picture: VDA · South Carolina Surf · Mid-Atlantic GU16 standings