Result · Saturday, Sep 26, 11:00 AM
Arlington Soccer Association 3–1 South Carolina Surf
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #4 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 63% chance. Pre-match odds were 63% home, 22% draw, 15% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | South Carolina Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-2 | 1-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W L | W L D L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Beach FC | 1–0 at Wilmington Hammerheads |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at VDA | 1–3 at Arlington Soccer Association |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.69 | -0.23 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.30 | +0.57 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 3–1 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: VDA — Arlington Soccer Association 0–2; South Carolina Surf 2–2. Wilmington Hammerheads — Arlington Soccer Association 3–0; South Carolina Surf 1–0.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | South Carolina Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 6th |
| Games left | 4 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 85% | 4% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 6.2 |
How the results connect
6 chains
3 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 1 favour South Carolina Surf, 2 even; average margin +0.7 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- +2Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 3–1
- +2Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–0 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to South Carolina Surf 0–1
- -2Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 0–2 → VDA drew with South Carolina Surf 2–2
- 0Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 1–0 → Richmond United lost to Charlotte SA 0–3 → Charlotte SA beat South Carolina Surf 2–0
- 0Arlington Soccer Association beat Beach FC 3–0 → Beach FC lost to VDA 1–4 → VDA drew with South Carolina Surf 2–2
- +2Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 0–2 → VDA beat Charlotte SA 3–1 → Charlotte SA beat South Carolina Surf 2–0
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · South Carolina Surf · Mid-Atlantic GU16 standings