Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 01:00 PM
Arlington Soccer Association 1–4 NCFC Youth NC Courage
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #3 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 46% chance. Pre-match odds were 32% home, 21% draw, 46% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-1 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L D W D | W W L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs South Carolina Surf | 7–0 vs NCFC Youth |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs NCFC Youth NC Courage | 0–2 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.91 | +1.35 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.18 | +0.24 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–4 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: Beach FC — Arlington Soccer Association 2–1; NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–0.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 3rd |
| Games left | 4 | 6 |
| Chance of top 4 | 87% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 26% |
| Average finish | 3.7 | 2.2 |
How the results connect
7 chains
1 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 3 favour NCFC Youth NC Courage, 3 even; average margin -0.7 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- -3Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–4
- 0Arlington Soccer Association beat Beach FC 2–1 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–1
- 0Arlington Soccer Association drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 2–4 → Fairfax Virginia Union beat NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–0
- 0Arlington Soccer Association drew with VDA 2–2 → VDA beat Beach FC 1–0 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–1
- -2Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 4–0 → Richmond United beat NCFC Youth 1–0 → NCFC Youth lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–7
- +3Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 4–0 → Richmond United drew with Beach FC 1–1 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–1
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · NCFC Youth NC Courage · Mid-Atlantic GU15 standings