Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 12:30 PM
Fairfax Virginia Union 4–2 Wilmington Hammerheads
James W Robinson HS · Stadium ↗ · turf? · 22032
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 75% chance. Pre-match odds were 75% home, 13% draw, 12% away, most likely 3–1.
| Season so far | Fairfax Virginia Union | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-0 | 1-1-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W | W L D |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs NCFC Youth | 4–2 vs South Carolina Surf |
| Worst loss | — | 2–4 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.54 | +0.14 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.05 | +0.36 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 4–2 (home for Fairfax Virginia Union)
What's at stake
| Fairfax Virginia Union | Wilmington Hammerheads | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 6th |
| Games left | 7 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 16% |
| Chance of 1st | 56% | 0% |
| Average finish | 1.7 | 5.5 |
How the results connect
2 chains
2 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 0 favour Wilmington Hammerheads; average margin +3.5 goals toward Fairfax Virginia Union.
- +2Fairfax Virginia Union beat Wilmington Hammerheads 4–2
- +5Fairfax Virginia Union beat NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–0 → NCFC Youth NC Courage beat Arlington Soccer Association 4–1 → Arlington Soccer Association drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1
Full picture: Fairfax Virginia Union · Wilmington Hammerheads · Mid-Atlantic GU15 standings