Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 03:00 PM

Arlington Soccer Association 1–1 Wilmington Hammerheads

Final

1–1

Wilmington Hammerheads
6th · 1.33 PPG · away

By today's ratings the model gave this result a 17% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 63% home, 17% draw, 21% away, most likely 2–1.

Season so far	Arlington Soccer Association	Wilmington Hammerheads
Position	4th	6th
Record (W-D-L)	3-2-1	1-1-1
Points per game	1.83	1.33
Goals for / game	2.7	2.3
Goals against / game	1.3	2.3
Clean sheets	2	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W L D W D	W L D
Biggest win	6–0 vs South Carolina Surf	4–2 vs South Carolina Surf
Worst loss	1–4 vs NCFC Youth NC Courage	2–4 at Fairfax Virginia Union
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.91	+0.14
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.18	+0.36

Already met this season: Oct 3 1–1 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)

Common opponents: South Carolina Surf — Arlington Soccer Association 6–0; Wilmington Hammerheads 4–2.

	Arlington Soccer Association	Wilmington Hammerheads
Position now	4th	6th
Games left	4	7
Chance of top 4	87%	16%
Chance of 1st	2%	0%
Average finish	3.7	5.5

4 chains

1 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 1 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 2 even; average margin +0.2 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.

0Arlington Soccer Association drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1
+4Arlington Soccer Association beat South Carolina Surf 6–0 → South Carolina Surf lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 2–4
0Arlington Soccer Association drew with VDA 2–2 → VDA beat South Carolina Surf 2–0 → South Carolina Surf lost to Wilmington Hammerheads 2–4
-3Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–4 → NCFC Youth NC Courage lost to Fairfax Virginia Union 0–2 → Fairfax Virginia Union beat Wilmington Hammerheads 4–2