Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 11:00 AM
Arlington Soccer Association 1–2 NCFC Youth NC Courage
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #3 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 36% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 38% home, 27% draw, 36% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W W D | W W L W |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs Beach FC | 4–0 vs NCFC Youth |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs NCFC Youth NC Courage | 1–2 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.64 | +0.98 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | -0.23 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–2 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: Beach FC — Arlington Soccer Association 2–0; NCFC Youth NC Courage 3–0.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 3rd |
| Games left | 14 | 16 |
| Chance of top 4 | 55% | 70% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 6% |
| Average finish | 4.2 | 3.6 |
How the results connect
8 chains
2 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 6 favour NCFC Youth NC Courage; average margin -0.2 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- -1Arlington Soccer Association lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–2
- -1Arlington Soccer Association beat Beach FC 2–0 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–3
- -1Arlington Soccer Association beat Richmond United 1–0 → Richmond United beat Beach FC 2–1 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–3
- -2Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 4–2 → Wilmington Hammerheads drew with NCFC Youth 1–1 → NCFC Youth lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–4
- -2Arlington Soccer Association drew with VDA 0–0 → VDA beat Beach FC 1–0 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–3
- -2Arlington Soccer Association beat Beach FC 2–0 → Beach FC drew with NCFC Youth 0–0 → NCFC Youth lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 0–4
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · NCFC Youth NC Courage · Mid-Atlantic GU14 standings