Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 10:30 AM
Fairfax Virginia Union 1–1 Wilmington Hammerheads
James W Robinson HS · Stadium ↗ · turf? · 22032
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 60% home, 21% draw, 19% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Fairfax Virginia Union | Wilmington Hammerheads |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-0 | 1-2-2 |
| Points per game | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W | W D L L D |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs NCFC Youth | 2–1 vs South Carolina Surf |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 vs Charlotte SA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.40 | -0.40 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.19 | -0.11 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–1 (home for Fairfax Virginia Union)
Common opponents: NCFC Youth — Fairfax Virginia Union 2–0; Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1.
What's at stake
| Fairfax Virginia Union | Wilmington Hammerheads | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 7th |
| Games left | 17 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 21% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.3 | 7.2 |
How the results connect
4 chains
3 favour Fairfax Virginia Union, 0 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 1 even; average margin +2.8 goals toward Fairfax Virginia Union.
- 0Fairfax Virginia Union drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1
- +2Fairfax Virginia Union beat NCFC Youth 2–0 → NCFC Youth drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1
- +4Fairfax Virginia Union beat NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–1 → NCFC Youth NC Courage beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–1 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 4–2
- +5Fairfax Virginia Union beat NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–1 → NCFC Youth NC Courage beat NCFC Youth 4–0 → NCFC Youth drew with Wilmington Hammerheads 1–1
Full picture: Fairfax Virginia Union · Wilmington Hammerheads · Mid-Atlantic GU14 standings