Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 09:00 AM
Arlington Soccer Association 2–2 NCFC Youth NC Courage
Long Bridge Park · Boeing #3 ↗ · 22202
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 44% home, 21% draw, 35% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 2-2-0 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L D W W L | D D W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Beach FC | 7–2 at Beach FC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at VDA | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.76 | +0.76 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.32 | -0.24 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 2–2 (home for Arlington Soccer Association)
Common opponents: Beach FC — Arlington Soccer Association 8–0; NCFC Youth NC Courage 7–2.
What's at stake
| Arlington Soccer Association | NCFC Youth NC Courage | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 3rd |
| Games left | 14 | 16 |
| Chance of top 4 | 36% | 60% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 4% |
| Average finish | 5.0 | 4.2 |
How the results connect
8 chains
2 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 3 favour NCFC Youth NC Courage, 3 even; average margin +0.1 goals toward Arlington Soccer Association.
- 0Arlington Soccer Association drew with NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–2
- +3Arlington Soccer Association beat Beach FC 8–0 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–7
- 0Arlington Soccer Association lost to Richmond United 0–1 → Richmond United beat NCFC Youth 3–2 → NCFC Youth drew with NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–1
- 0Arlington Soccer Association lost to Richmond United 0–1 → Richmond United beat Beach FC 6–0 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–7
- -1Arlington Soccer Association beat Wilmington Hammerheads 3–2 → Wilmington Hammerheads lost to NCFC Youth 1–3 → NCFC Youth drew with NCFC Youth NC Courage 1–1
- -3Arlington Soccer Association lost to VDA 1–2 → VDA beat Beach FC 4–1 → Beach FC lost to NCFC Youth NC Courage 2–7
Full picture: Arlington Soccer Association · NCFC Youth NC Courage · Mid-Atlantic GU13 standings