Week 8 in Texas BU15: what changed

Sat Oct 24

• Tulsa SC (18th) 0–7 (8th) Dallas Texans Academy
• SOLAR SC (11th) 0–1 (14th) Lonestar ATX Royal
• FC Dallas Youth White (20th) 0–4 (7th) Real Colorado Academy
• OK Energy FC Academy (3rd) 1–1 (12th) Dallas Texans
• Solar SC Academy (1st) 2–1 (5th) Lonestar ATX Red
• FC Dallas Youth Red (4th) 1–0 (9th) Colorado Storm

Sun Oct 25

• FC Dallas Youth White (20th) 0–1 (9th) Colorado Storm
• OK Energy FC Academy (3rd) 2–0 (8th) Dallas Texans Academy
• Tulsa SC (18th) 1–1 (12th) Dallas Texans
• FC Dallas Youth Red (4th) 3–3 (7th) Real Colorado Academy
• Solar SC Academy (1st) 5–1 (14th) Lonestar ATX Royal
• SOLAR SC (11th) 0–2 (5th) Lonestar ATX Red
• HTX (2nd) 4–2 (16th) Albion Hurricanes FC

Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.

• SOLAR SC 0–1 Lonestar ATX Royal 24% likely
  Sat Oct 24 · model favoured SOLAR SC

How likely each result was by today's ratings.

1. Dallas Texans Academy (8th) vs Lonestar ATX Red (5th) Sun Nov 1
   50% · 19% · 31% — KEY GAME toss-up, both still chasing the zone
2. HTX (2nd) vs FC Westlake (6th) Sun Nov 1
   69% · 16% · 16% — KEY GAME form check
3. Dallas Texans (12th) vs Lonestar ATX Red (5th) Sat Oct 31
   25% · 19% · 57% — KEY GAME zone race on the line
4. Dallas Texans Academy (8th) vs Lonestar ATX Royal (14th) Sat Oct 31
   69% · 16% · 15% — KEY GAME form check
5. FC Dallas Youth Red (4th) vs FC Dallas Youth White (20th) Sat Oct 31
   91% · 7% · 3% — KEY GAME zone race on the line

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