Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Atlanta Fire United 1–2 Concorde Fire Premier
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 19% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 60% home, 21% draw, 19% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Atlanta Fire United | Concorde Fire Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-2 | 4-0-3 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.71 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D W W | W L W W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at CESA Triumph | 4–1 vs South Carolina United |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at United Futbol Academy | 1–4 vs CESA Triumph |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.85 | +0.05 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | +0.15 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–2 (home for Atlanta Fire United)
Common opponents: GSA — Atlanta Fire United 3–1; Concorde Fire Premier 2–0. NTH NASA — Atlanta Fire United 1–0; Concorde Fire Premier 0–1. CESA Triumph — Atlanta Fire United 5–0; Concorde Fire Premier 1–4. South Carolina United — Atlanta Fire United 3–1; Concorde Fire Premier 4–1. Concorde Fire Platinum — Atlanta Fire United 3–1; Concorde Fire Premier 0–3, 2–1.
What's at stake
| Atlanta Fire United | Concorde Fire Premier | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 5th |
| Games left | 8 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 50% |
| Chance of 1st | 46% | 3% |
| Average finish | 1.9 | 4.2 |
How the results connect
37 chains
23 favour Atlanta Fire United, 11 favour Concorde Fire Premier, 3 even; average margin +1.5 goals toward Atlanta Fire United.
- -1Atlanta Fire United lost to Concorde Fire Premier 1–2
- 0Atlanta Fire United beat GSA 3–1 → GSA lost to Concorde Fire Premier 0–2
- +1Atlanta Fire United beat Concorde Fire Platinum 3–1 → Concorde Fire Platinum lost to Concorde Fire Premier 1–2
- -1Atlanta Fire United beat South Carolina United 3–1 → South Carolina United lost to Concorde Fire Premier 1–4
- +2Atlanta Fire United beat NTH NASA 1–0 → NTH NASA beat Concorde Fire Premier 1–0
- +5Atlanta Fire United beat Concorde Fire Platinum 3–1 → Concorde Fire Platinum beat Concorde Fire Premier 3–0
Full picture: Atlanta Fire United · Concorde Fire Premier · Southeast BU16 standings