Nationals SC

ECNL Boys · Ohio Valley BU16 · 9 teams · Nationals (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.

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4th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

45% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 5, 11:45 AM

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Nationals SC
4th · 0.00 PPG

Pittsburgh Riverhounds
7th · 0.00 PPG

Highmark Stadium, Field 1 ↗ · turf?

35% 18% 47%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so far	Nationals SC	Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Position	4th	7th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
Pittsburgh Riverhounds average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 11:45 AM at Highmark Stadium.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Louisville City Academy sit 3rd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above Louisville City Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pittsburgh Riverhounds game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nationals SC – Pittsburgh Riverhounds) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 30 – Sun Dec 6); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 3	1st▲ up 3	1st▲ up 3
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 3	1st▲ up 3	1st▲ up 3
Draw 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 3	1st▲ up 3	1st▲ up 3
Loss 0.00 PPG	9th▼ down 5	9th▼ down 5	9th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

10% finish 1st

45% top 4

55% below the top 4

5.0 average finish

1st 10%
2nd 11%
3rd 12%
4th 12%
5th 11%
6th 12%
7th 11%
8th 10%
9th 11%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Cleveland Force SC	0.00 (+0.00)	3rd (1.41)	Already ahead
2	FC Pride Elite	0.00 (+0.00)	4th (1.41)	Already ahead
3	Louisville City Academy	0.00 (+0.00)	8th (1.41)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 4th hardest of 9

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Dec 5 11:45 AM	Pittsburgh Riverhounds 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Highmark Stadium · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Dec 12 TBD	Cleveland Force SC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Dec 19 11:00 AM	FC Pride Elite 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away FC Pride Performance Center	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sun Dec 20 09:00 AM	Louisville City Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Lynn Family Sports Vision & Training Facility	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Mar 13 TBD	Ohio Elite SA 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.31	Swing game
Sun Mar 14 TBD	Ohio Premier 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.35	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Cleveland Force SC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.39	Swing game
Sat Apr 3 TBD	Pittsburgh Riverhounds 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	FC Pride Elite 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.43	Swing game
Sun Apr 18 TBD	Louisville City Academy 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.44	Swing game
Sat Apr 24 09:45 AM	WNY Flash 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Flash Fields	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.42	Upside
Sun Apr 25 TBD	RNY FC Youth 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat May 8 11:45 AM	Ohio Elite SA 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Ohio Elite Training Center	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.40	Upside
Sun May 9 02:00 PM	Ohio Premier 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away OP Training Facility	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat May 15 TBD	RNY FC Youth 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.40	Swing game
Sun May 16 TBD	WNY Flash 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Cleveland Force SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Nationals SC · Sat Jan 30 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds · Sat Mar 6 at Louisville City Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Pride Elite

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 19 vs Nationals SC · Sun Dec 20 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds · Sat Feb 6 at Ohio Premier See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Louisville City Academy

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 19 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds · Sun Dec 20 vs Nationals SC · Sat Feb 13 vs Ohio Elite SA See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nationals SC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 5 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds · Sat Dec 12 at Cleveland Force SC · Sat Dec 19 at FC Pride Elite See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	at	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	vs	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Ohio Elite SA

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 vs Ohio Premier · Sat Dec 19 vs RNY FC Youth · Sun Dec 20 vs WNY Flash See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Ohio Premier

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 12 at Ohio Elite SA · Sat Dec 19 vs WNY Flash · Sun Dec 20 vs RNY FC Youth See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Nationals SC · Sat Dec 19 at Louisville City Academy · Sun Dec 20 at FC Pride Elite See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

RNY FC Youth

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 19 at Ohio Elite SA · Sun Dec 20 at Ohio Premier · Sun Mar 7 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	vs	WNY Flash (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

WNY Flash

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Dec 19 at Ohio Premier · Sun Dec 20 at Ohio Elite SA · Sat Mar 6 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Louisville City Academy (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	FC Pride Elite (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Ohio Premier (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Ohio Elite SA (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	RNY FC Youth (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Cleveland Force SC (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	at	Nationals SC (4th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.