Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 11:00 AM
MVLA 2–2 Santa Clara Sporting
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 38% home, 22% draw, 40% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | MVLA | Santa Clara Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 2-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.60 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D W L | L W D D W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at San Juan SC | 3–1 vs San Juan SC |
| Worst loss | 2–5 vs El Camino FC Salinas | 0–1 at Folsom Lake Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.07 | +0.30 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.05 | +0.28 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–2 (home for MVLA)
Common opponents: San Juan SC — MVLA 4–1; Santa Clara Sporting 3–1. Placer United — MVLA 2–4; Santa Clara Sporting 1–1.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Santa Clara Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 7th |
| Games left | 10 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 11% | 20% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 8.5 | 7.3 |
How the results connect
15 chains
5 favour MVLA, 8 favour Santa Clara Sporting, 2 even; average margin -1.1 goals toward MVLA.
- 0MVLA drew with Santa Clara Sporting 2–2
- +1MVLA beat San Juan SC 4–1 → San Juan SC lost to Santa Clara Sporting 1–3
- -2MVLA lost to Placer United 2–4 → Placer United drew with Santa Clara Sporting 1–1
- 0MVLA beat COSC 2–1 → COSC beat San Juan SC 2–1 → San Juan SC lost to Santa Clara Sporting 1–3
- -1MVLA beat San Juan SC 4–1 → San Juan SC lost to Marin FC 2–5 → Marin FC lost to Santa Clara Sporting 1–2
- +1MVLA beat COSC 2–1 → COSC drew with Placer United 0–0 → Placer United drew with Santa Clara Sporting 1–1
Full picture: MVLA · Santa Clara Sporting · Northern Cal BU17 standings