Result · Sunday, Aug 30, 11:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 3–3 Folsom Lake Surf
Provident Field @ MSC · Upper ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 19% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 22% home, 19% draw, 59% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-3 | 5-1-0 |
| Points per game | 1.14 | 2.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L L W | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Santa Rosa United | 7–1 at COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Association FC B09/10 | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.12 | +1.39 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.14 | +0.21 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 3–3 (home for Mustang Soccer)
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 13th | 1st |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 1% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 70% |
| Average finish | 10.9 | 1.5 |
How the results connect
19 chains
2 favour Mustang Soccer, 14 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 3 even; average margin -3.2 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- 0Mustang Soccer drew with Folsom Lake Surf 3–3
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Davis Legacy 3–1 → Davis Legacy beat Napa United 2–1 → Napa United lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–4
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Davis Legacy 3–1 → Davis Legacy beat COSC 4–0 → COSC lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–7
- -1Mustang Soccer lost to River Islands Surf 0–1 → River Islands Surf beat Napa United 3–0 → Napa United lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–4
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Davis Legacy 3–1 → Davis Legacy drew with Los Gatos United Soccer Club 1–1 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–1
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Davis Legacy 3–1 → Davis Legacy drew with El Camino FC Salinas 2–2 → El Camino FC Salinas lost to Folsom Lake Surf 1–2
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Folsom Lake Surf · Northern Cal BU17 standings