Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 09:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 1–3 River Islands Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 42% chance. Pre-match odds were 39% home, 19% draw, 42% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | River Islands Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-3 | 4-0-3 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 1.71 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W W | W W L W W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at Santa Rosa United | 4–1 vs San Francisco Elite Academy |
| Worst loss | 0–3 vs Folsom Lake Surf | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.19 | +0.60 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.10 | -0.28 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–3 (home for Mustang Soccer)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang Soccer 2–1; River Islands Surf 1–2. Association FC B10/11 — Mustang Soccer 1–0; River Islands Surf 2–3. San Francisco Elite Academy — Mustang Soccer 1–2; River Islands Surf 4–1. Santa Rosa United — Mustang Soccer 6–0; River Islands Surf 4–1.
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | River Islands Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 8th | 5th |
| Games left | 9 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 5% | 17% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 7.8 | 6.3 |
How the results connect
16 chains
10 favour Mustang Soccer, 5 favour River Islands Surf, 1 even; average margin +1.0 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- -2Mustang Soccer lost to River Islands Surf 1–3
- +2Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B10/11 1–0 → Association FC B10/11 beat River Islands Surf 3–2
- +2Mustang Soccer beat Davis Legacy 2–1 → Davis Legacy beat River Islands Surf 2–1
- +3Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 6–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to River Islands Surf 1–4
- -4Mustang Soccer lost to San Francisco Elite Academy 1–2 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to River Islands Surf 1–4
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 6–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to San Francisco Elite Academy 0–3 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to River Islands Surf 1–4
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · River Islands Surf · Northern Cal BU16 standings