Result · Sunday, Sep 27, TBD
River Islands Surf 2–3 1974 Newark FC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 60% home, 19% draw, 21% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | River Islands Surf | 1974 Newark FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-3 | 2-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 1.40 |
| Goals for / game | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W W | D L W W L |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs San Francisco Elite Academy | 1–0 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy | 0–3 vs San Francisco Elite Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.60 | -0.21 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | +0.09 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 2–3 (home for River Islands Surf)
Common opponents: San Francisco Elite Academy — River Islands Surf 4–1; 1974 Newark FC 0–3. Santa Rosa United — River Islands Surf 4–1; 1974 Newark FC 1–0. Napa United — River Islands Surf 4–2; 1974 Newark FC 2–2.
What's at stake
| River Islands Surf | 1974 Newark FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 9th |
| Games left | 9 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 17% | 2% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.3 | 10.0 |
How the results connect
15 chains
14 favour River Islands Surf, 1 favour 1974 Newark FC; average margin +2.9 goals toward River Islands Surf.
- -1River Islands Surf lost to 1974 Newark FC 2–3
- +2River Islands Surf beat Napa United 4–2 → Napa United drew with 1974 Newark FC 2–2
- +2River Islands Surf beat Santa Rosa United 4–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to 1974 Newark FC 0–1
- +6River Islands Surf beat San Francisco Elite Academy 4–1 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat 1974 Newark FC 3–0
- +1River Islands Surf beat Santa Rosa United 4–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Napa United 0–2 → Napa United drew with 1974 Newark FC 2–2
- +1River Islands Surf lost to Association FC B10/11 2–3 → Association FC B10/11 beat Santa Rosa United 4–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to 1974 Newark FC 0–1
Full picture: River Islands Surf · 1974 Newark FC · Northern Cal BU16 standings