Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 01:00 PM
Mustang Soccer 2–0 River Islands Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 60% chance. Pre-match odds were 60% home, 22% draw, 18% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | River Islands Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 2-3-2 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.29 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | L D D W L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs Folsom Lake Surf | 4–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy | 0–2 at Mustang Soccer |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.01 | +0.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.41 | -0.21 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 2–0 (home for Mustang Soccer)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang Soccer 1–2; River Islands Surf 2–0. Association FC B11/12 — Mustang Soccer 6–2; River Islands Surf 1–1. San Francisco Elite Academy — Mustang Soccer 1–0; River Islands Surf 1–2. Santa Rosa United — Mustang Soccer 2–1; River Islands Surf 4–1.
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | River Islands Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 10th |
| Games left | 9 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 95% | 3% |
| Chance of 1st | 30% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.2 | 10.1 |
How the results connect
16 chains
8 favour Mustang Soccer, 7 favour River Islands Surf, 1 even; average margin +0.6 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- +2Mustang Soccer beat River Islands Surf 2–0
- -2Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 2–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to River Islands Surf 1–4
- +2Mustang Soccer beat San Francisco Elite Academy 1–0 → San Francisco Elite Academy beat River Islands Surf 2–1
- -3Mustang Soccer lost to Davis Legacy 1–2 → Davis Legacy lost to River Islands Surf 0–2
- +4Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B11/12 6–2 → Association FC B11/12 drew with River Islands Surf 1–1
- 0Mustang Soccer beat San Francisco Elite Academy 1–0 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to 1974 Newark FC 0–1 → 1974 Newark FC drew with River Islands Surf 1–1
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · River Islands Surf · Northern Cal BU15 standings