Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 0–1 River Islands Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 33% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 42% home, 25% draw, 33% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | River Islands Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 4-2-1 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W L | W D W W W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs San Francisco Elite Academy | 3–0 vs 1974 Newark FC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy | 0–4 at Association FC B12/13 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.38 | +0.33 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.04 | -0.02 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 0–1 (home for Mustang Soccer)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Mustang Soccer 1–2; River Islands Surf 1–1. Association FC B12/13 — Mustang Soccer 2–1; River Islands Surf 0–4. San Francisco Elite Academy — Mustang Soccer 3–1; River Islands Surf 2–1. Santa Rosa United — Mustang Soccer 3–2; River Islands Surf 3–1.
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | River Islands Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 5th |
| Games left | 9 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 59% | 44% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 3% |
| Average finish | 4.4 | 5.1 |
How the results connect
16 chains
5 favour Mustang Soccer, 6 favour River Islands Surf, 5 even; average margin +0.3 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- -1Mustang Soccer lost to River Islands Surf 0–1
- -1Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United lost to River Islands Surf 1–3
- +1Mustang Soccer beat San Francisco Elite Academy 3–1 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to River Islands Surf 1–2
- -1Mustang Soccer lost to Davis Legacy 1–2 → Davis Legacy drew with River Islands Surf 1–1
- +5Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B12/13 2–1 → Association FC B12/13 beat River Islands Surf 4–0
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United drew with San Francisco Elite Academy 1–1 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to River Islands Surf 1–2
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · River Islands Surf · Northern Cal BU14 standings