Result · Sunday, Aug 23, 09:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 3–2 Marin FC
Provident Field @ MSC · Lower ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 29% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 29% home, 21% draw, 49% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 5-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W L | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs San Francisco Elite Academy | 4–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Davis Legacy | 2–3 at Mustang Soccer |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.38 | +1.17 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.04 | +0.11 |
Already met this season: Aug 23 3–2 (home for Mustang Soccer)
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 1st |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 60% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 62% |
| Average finish | 4.3 | 1.6 |
How the results connect
14 chains
3 favour Mustang Soccer, 9 favour Marin FC, 2 even; average margin -2.1 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- +1Mustang Soccer beat Marin FC 3–2
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United beat Los Gatos United Soccer Club 3–1 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Marin FC 1–4
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B12/13 2–1 → Association FC B12/13 drew with El Camino FC Salinas 0–0 → El Camino FC Salinas lost to Marin FC 0–1
- +1Mustang Soccer beat San Francisco Elite Academy 3–1 → San Francisco Elite Academy drew with El Camino FC Salinas 1–1 → El Camino FC Salinas lost to Marin FC 0–1
- -2Mustang Soccer beat San Francisco Elite Academy 3–1 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 1–2 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Marin FC 1–4
- -3Mustang Soccer beat Association FC B12/13 2–1 → Association FC B12/13 lost to Los Gatos United Soccer Club 0–1 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Marin FC 1–4
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Marin FC · Northern Cal BU14 standings