Result · Sunday, Aug 30, 09:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 2–2 Folsom Lake Surf
Provident Field @ MSC · Lower ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 20% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 31% home, 20% draw, 49% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-4-1 | 3-3-0 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L D | W W D W D |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Santa Rosa United | 6–0 at COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Association FC B13/14 | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.23 | +1.03 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.16 | -0.46 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 2–2 (home for Mustang Soccer)
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 10th | 4th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 2% | 52% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 1% |
| Average finish | 8.8 | 4.9 |
How the results connect
19 chains
3 favour Mustang Soccer, 11 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 5 even; average margin -1.7 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- 0Mustang Soccer drew with Folsom Lake Surf 2–2
- 0Mustang Soccer beat Santa Rosa United 5–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Napa United 1–6 → Napa United drew with Folsom Lake Surf 5–5
- 0Mustang Soccer drew with San Francisco Elite Academy 3–3 → San Francisco Elite Academy drew with Napa United 2–2 → Napa United drew with Folsom Lake Surf 5–5
- 0Mustang Soccer lost to Association FC B13/14 1–4 → Association FC B13/14 beat Los Gatos United Soccer Club 5–1 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–1
- 0Mustang Soccer drew with Davis Legacy 2–2 → Davis Legacy beat Los Gatos United Soccer Club 3–2 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club lost to Folsom Lake Surf 0–1
- +1Mustang Soccer beat River Islands Surf 1–0 → River Islands Surf drew with Napa United 2–2 → Napa United drew with Folsom Lake Surf 5–5
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Folsom Lake Surf · Northern Cal BU13 standings