Result · Sunday, Aug 23, 11:00 AM
Mustang Soccer 2–2 Marin FC
Provident Field @ MSC · Lower ↗ · 94506
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 39% home, 22% draw, 39% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang Soccer | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-4-1 | 3-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.43 | 1.83 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L D | D W W W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Santa Rosa United | 5–1 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Association FC B13/14 | 2–3 vs Los Gatos United Soccer Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.23 | +0.45 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.16 | -0.41 |
Already met this season: Aug 23 2–2 (home for Mustang Soccer)
What's at stake
| Mustang Soccer | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 10th | 5th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 2% | 13% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 9.0 | 6.9 |
How the results connect
14 chains
7 favour Mustang Soccer, 6 favour Marin FC, 1 even; average margin -0.6 goals toward Mustang Soccer.
- 0Mustang Soccer drew with Marin FC 2–2
- +1Mustang Soccer drew with San Francisco Elite Academy 3–3 → San Francisco Elite Academy drew with Los Gatos United Soccer Club 1–1 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club beat Marin FC 3–2
- -1Mustang Soccer drew with Folsom Lake Surf 2–2 → Folsom Lake Surf drew with El Camino FC Salinas 1–1 → El Camino FC Salinas lost to Marin FC 0–1
- -2Mustang Soccer drew with San Francisco Elite Academy 3–3 → San Francisco Elite Academy lost to El Camino FC Salinas 0–1 → El Camino FC Salinas lost to Marin FC 0–1
- +2Mustang Soccer lost to Association FC B13/14 1–4 → Association FC B13/14 beat Los Gatos United Soccer Club 5–1 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club beat Marin FC 3–2
- +2Mustang Soccer drew with Davis Legacy 2–2 → Davis Legacy beat Los Gatos United Soccer Club 3–2 → Los Gatos United Soccer Club beat Marin FC 3–2
Full picture: Mustang Soccer · Marin FC · Northern Cal BU13 standings