Result · Saturday, Oct 17, 01:30 PM
Wilmington Hammerheads 1–2 Arlington Soccer Association
NCINO Sports Park · Field 7 ↗ · 28401
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 30% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 47% home, 23% draw, 30% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Wilmington Hammerheads | Arlington Soccer Association |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-1 | 3-2-3 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W L | L W D L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Fairfax Virginia Union | 3–0 at Fairfax Virginia Union |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Arlington Soccer Association | 1–3 at NCFC Youth Academy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.36 | +0.16 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | +0.13 |
Already met this season: Oct 17 1–2 (home for Wilmington Hammerheads)
Common opponents: Fairfax Virginia Union — Wilmington Hammerheads 3–0; Arlington Soccer Association 3–0.
What's at stake
| Wilmington Hammerheads | Arlington Soccer Association | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 7th |
| Games left | 16 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 52% | 31% |
| Chance of 1st | 6% | 1% |
| Average finish | 4.8 | 5.8 |
How the results connect
6 chains
4 favour Wilmington Hammerheads, 1 favour Arlington Soccer Association, 1 even; average margin +2.5 goals toward Wilmington Hammerheads.
- -1Wilmington Hammerheads lost to Arlington Soccer Association 1–2
- 0Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to Arlington Soccer Association 0–3
- +2Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to Skyline Elite 1–2 → Skyline Elite drew with Arlington Soccer Association 3–3
- +3Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union lost to NCFC Youth 0–1 → NCFC Youth beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–1
- +4Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union beat Richmond United 1–0 → Richmond United drew with Arlington Soccer Association 1–1
- +7Wilmington Hammerheads beat Fairfax Virginia Union 3–0 → Fairfax Virginia Union beat Beach FC 3–0 → Beach FC beat Arlington Soccer Association 1–0
Full picture: Wilmington Hammerheads · Arlington Soccer Association · Mid-Atlantic BU16 standings